STRATEGIES FOR NAVIGATING TURBULENT MARKETS​

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Market turbulence can arrive unexpectedly and while it can be a nerve-wracking experience, it's often short-lived and can be a great source of opportunity for investors.​

Understanding the source of turbulence can help you prepare for it, whether it is a world event that has taken markets by surprise or a broader economic downturn. Here, we lay it all out—from the risks you might want to look out for to which investment strategies to explore. Read on to better prepare for market turbulence and potentially benefit from it.​

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iSHARES INVESTMENT STRATEGY 2024 YEAR AHEAD OUTLOOK

Discover investment opportunities across U.S. equities, fixed income, and international exposures based on our macroeconomic views and market positioning.

NAVIGATE TODAY’S MARKET

DON’T LET A FEAR OF VOLATILITY HURT PERFORMANCE​

The fight or flight instinct has helped our ancestors survive, but when it comes to investing, it’s often a losing strategy. When volatility strikes, panicked selling to avoid further losses could result in selling investments for less than you purchased them for. What’s worse, you run the risk of missing out on a rebound that may be right around the corner.

Missing these rebounds, or top-performing days, could harm long-term performance. When you look at an investment of $10K in stocks over a 20-year period, an investor who stayed invested would have made 58% more than one who missed just 5 top-performing days.

Missing top performing days can hurt your returns​

Bar chart showing how missing top performing days can affect your returns.

Source: BlackRock, Bloomberg as of 12/31/2023. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. Past performance does not guarantee future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.​

Image description: Bar chart showing the potential decrease in investment returns (over a 25-day period) when top performing days are missed.


If the ups and downs of your investment returns are making you queasy, review the allocation between stocks and bonds. Bonds can help counter balance the peaks and troughs of stock prices. Learn more about portfolio construction with our portfolio builder.​

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CAN’T STOMACH THE VOLATILITY?​

If market volatility leaves you wanting to press the eject button, consider ETFs designed to smooth the highs and lows so you can stay invested for the long run. iShares Min Vol ETFs seek to have a balanced portfolio of stocks with historically lower volatility than the broader equity market.

FEMALE:  Volatile markets can make investors uneasy, but remember, don’t focus on trying time the market.  It’s time in the market that matters.  For example, if you had invested in the market 20 years ago, and then sold out due to market volatility, you decreased your growth potential with each moment you’re not invested.  But, if you had stayed invested, your investment could have grown significantly over time.  If market volatility is hard for you to stomach, consider iShares Minimum Volatility ETFs, which seek to minimize the ups and downs of the market. 

EXPLORE OUR MIN VOL ETFs

TRANSFORM INFLATION HEADWINDS TO INVESTMENT TAILWINDS

Inflation deteriorates purchasing power, increasing the likelihood of your investments falling short. While inflation may be outside of your control, there are investments that can help manage the impact of inflation and help keep you on track.​

Seek out inflation-linked investments​

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are U.S. government bonds with a face value that rises and falls with inflation, protecting investors from the risk of higher-than-expected inflation. Access a whole basket of TIPS in just one trade with iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF (STIP).

Focus on real assets​

Physical assets like real estate and commodities can help protect investors from rising inflation and diversify portfolios. The costs for food, energy, and housing account for a large part of the Consumer Price Index (CPI).1 Investing in the assets driving inflation can help your returns keep pace with it. ​

Limit cash drag​

When inflation is high, excess cash sitting in your bank account isn't doing you any favors. Short term bonds can help access growth while keeping without committing to a long-term investment. ​

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INVESTING IN A SHRINKING ECONOMY

Recessions can trigger a significant decline in stocks and a barrage of negative news stories that make it easy to lose perspective. Thankfully, the average recession only lasts around a year and investors who wait it out may be handsomely rewarded for their patience.1 Since 1926, the average performance of U.S. stocks in the year following a recession was nearly 25%. Investors who cannot wait for a bounce back, could consider three strategies to help find resilience against economic headwinds.​

Average performance before, during and after a recession​ since 1929​

Bar chart showing average performance before during and after a recession.

Source: Morningstar as of 12/31/2023. Stock market represented by the S&P 500 Index from 3/4/57 to 12/31/2023 and IA SSBI U.S. Large Cap TR Index from 1/1/26 to 3/4/57. Past performance does not guarantee future results.​

Image description: Bar chart showing the average performance of U.S. stocks before, during and after a recession over a three-year period.


STRATEGIES FOR STAYING INVESTED

Focus on quality ​

Stocks: Companies with stable earnings, relatively low debt, and strong cash flows are associated with a characteristic referred to as “quality” and can all act as a buffer against losses in shrinking economies. Gain access to a basket of companies with these characteristics with the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL).​

Bonds: Investment grade bonds are loans by high quality issuers which have been deemed by independent ratings agencies to be less likely to miss an interest payment or be unable to repay the initial loan. Seek to track the entire U.S. investment grade bond market with the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG).​

Retreat to lower risk securities​

If the recession risk is too high to handle, consider moving into lower risk securities like U.S. Treasuries, where interest payments and initial loan values are guaranteed by the United States government. The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) provides exposure to a U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining maturities between 7-10 years.2

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